First of all, if you don’t know what Showcase Showdown Saturday is, it’s because you missed this awesome post. Catch up. Second, just a few thoughts from yesterday’s results, where Barack Obama swept all three states plus the Virgin Islands, and John McCain lost twice to Mike Huckabee (Louisiana and Kansas) and once to “Other” (Washington):
- I understand that Hillary Clinton is banking on Ohio and Texas to stop whatever momentum Obama gathers this month, considering that he could possibly win the next six states in a row. But I don’t think it’s a very good strategy to let your opponent suck up all the good media for four weeks and expect that your poll numbers will remain the same in so-called firewall states that are a month away. Neither does Rudy Giuliani.
- If Obama does sweep every state this month and then goes on to win either Ohio or Texas, he’ll be the Democratic nominee.
- If you want to refer to John McCain’s showing in Washington state as a win, fine. But finishing two points ahead of Mike Huckabee and four points behind “Other” is not a good showing for an inevitable Republican nominee. Combine that with losing Louisiana and Kansas to Huckabee, and you’ve got the makings of downright embarrassment.
- There’s a chance– an outside chance, but a chance– that depending on how long he stays in the race, Mike Huckabee could win more states and more delegates than John McCain from February 5th on. Mathematically, Huckabee can’t win the nomination unless he literally wins every state from here on out, but he could still potentially put a lot of egg on McCain’s face. At some point, if we haven’t reached that point already, Huckabee will be under enormous pressure from his party to drop his campaign. Though he may be trying to leverage his continued presence in the race into a spot on November’s ticket. It could happen.