This is the quickest and easiest prediction I’ve ever had to make, and it’s because I figured out after Pennsylvania how to call these things. These Democratic primaries have nothing to do with analysis or momentum. Here’s how it works. Whatever leads to the most inconclusive, meaningless, expected, drag-this-out-another-month result is exactly what will happen. Therefore, here’s the picks:
Obama will win North Carolina by 10, Clinton will take Indiana by 5. African-Americans and the under 40 crowd will vote for Obama, white women and everyone over 90 will vote for Hillary, nothing will change, and we’ll learn nothing we didn’t already know two months ago.